Businessweek on Grocery Stores Fighting Back Against Food Prices - Comments from Mike Neal

February 3, 2009

Today Businessweek magazine is featuring comments from my friend and colleague Mike Neal (CEO, SignalDemand) on its homepage in reference to the article “Grocery Stores Fight Back Against Food Prices.”

According to its editorial staff, Businessweek’s new online “In Your Face” section highlights readers that offer “smart, incisive comments that move the conversation forward” - and this week the topic is Food 2.0:

Mike Neal: Food 2.0

The article is a worthwhile read, taking a look at the quickly forming “battleground” over food prices. Here’s an excerpt to give you an idea:

A year ago, when the cost of commodities such as wheat, oil, and corn was soaring, grocers grudgingly accepted price increases from Kellogg (K), General Mills (GIS), H.J. Heinz, (HNZ) and other food manufacturers. The strange thing is, those price tags never came back down, even when commodity prices collapsed in the fourth quarter of 2008. As a result, grocers have little cheer to offer their shoppers at a time of deepening economic gloom. “The prices don’t seem to go down as fast as they go up,” says Jeffrey Noddle, CEO of Minneapolis-based Supervalu, one of the nation’s leading grocers.

Now, the grocers are demanding action. On Jan. 7, Noddle told analysts to expect a “battleground” over the next six months as he pressures manufacturers to adjust their prices. And if they refuse? “In almost every category,” notes Noddle, “you have other vendors to look to.”

The food companies recognize that increases in the price of food outpaced commodity inflation during the fourth quarter last year, which should have resulted in higher profits. However, they argue, previous price hikes didn’t completely cover escalating production and commodity costs….

And for your convenience, Mike Neal’s comments in full:

Every major food producer has been anticipating this impasse. The problem lies in the fact that many producers don’t have the ability to accurately resassess their risk if they were to adjust prices. In order to confidently renegotiate contract prices, food producers must be able to accurately calculate the impact of price changes on volumes and margins, for each product line and customer contract.

Part of that calculation is a prediction of the success of demand shaping with strategic price changes. Without this knowledge and assurance, food producers with long term contracts could be effectively signing their own death warrants if faced with another jump in commodity prices.

Fortunately, technology has caught up with the pressures of the global marketplace and food producers are starting to adopt technologies that allow them to bring a new transparency and confidence to price strategy and contract negotiations. I envision that a new role - Chief Pricing Officer - will emerge from this awareness of the powerful strategic role pricing can play in the enterprise.

All you price professionals out there - what’s your take? Weigh in with a comment of you own on ChiefPricingOfficer.com.

Rip


A Brief History of Pricing Technology

September 19, 2008

Pricing technology is definitely not new.

The airlines industry first pioneered pricing strategy with what they called “yield management” – discounting seats on less popular routes and maximizing prices on routes that have a lot of demand. The Professional Pricing Society was established in 1984 as the field began to heat up (check out their blog). The hotel industry got on board in the late 1980s using what was referred to as “sophisticated computer techniques,” followed by retail-specific software technologies.

The manufacturing sector is one of the more recent industries to benefit from price technology, though technologies vary widely across vertical markets such as food, chemicals and consumer packaged goods. As Managing Automation’s Chris Chiappinelli points out, pricing technology for manufacturing has made a lot of progress since the days of scratch paper, gut instinct and spreadsheets:

“For a long time now, the practice of product pricing has involved more art than science, with product managers and sales professionals governed mostly by what ‘felt right.’ In recent years, however, science has started to gain the upper hand, and the sun may be setting on the era of ‘pricing by the gut.’”

As technologies have evolved and fragmented to serve more specific niches, analysts and vendors have struggled to classify different breeds of pricing technology. Some might say the category has had a bit of an identity crisis. Depending on the industry and market, you’ll find price-related software under labels ranging from “yield management” to “merchandise optimization” to “demand and revenue management.”

We’re currently experiencing the next evolution in the sophistication of pricing technologies with the maturation of the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) delivery model. SaaS makes it possible to offer massively scalable, high-powered number crunching software based on finely-tuned, dynamic algorithms - a major stride compared to the past industry standard of static, rules-based systems that require on-site installation and ongoing customization. I could go on about the benefits of SaaS for price optimization, but I’ll leave that for another post.


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