Zen and the Art of Inflationary Forecasting
As is - unfortunately - too often the case with government economists, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President and CEO Dennis Lockhart told us last week what we already know: Prices are too high.
Lockhard said that food prices have inflated 6.5 percent through the first half of 2008, while motor fuel jumped 32 percent and home utility costs rose 21 percent. According to Lockhart, those three things account for 25 percent of all consumer spending.
There was good news too, as Lockhart also predicted that inflation would ease as the overall sagging market naturally tamps down inflation. But, there’s still only one key takeaway for American manufacturers and consumers: It’s going to cost more to produce things and buy the products made.
The easing of inflation will be a welcome respite for all involved. But, ultimately, it will be like that 90 degree day after it’s been in the 100s for days straight: It’s nice, but still not too comfortable. Inflation, or at least volatility, will be with us for awhile, and price is quickly becoming the new flashpoint for the 21st Century. For manufacturers, smart pricing is essential in an inflated market - finding the correct balance between cost and demand, as supply prices spike, is quickly becoming the most important new business calculus of our time. Companies that have the correct insight into how to properly buy and sell will emerge as the new leaders, while those that don’t will struggle.
That’s an easy side to choose.








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